We'll look to Short-term market direction to help us size our position -- especially after this morning's early "gap fade" (long bias since market opened lower) tendency dies down.
Portfolio and risk managers, actuaries, and engineers bringing straightforward and robust trading & investment advice to the public -- and institutions.
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Bullish Stock Market Indicators
Our overbought/oversold stock market indicators went from neutral to bullish. Our long-term indicators are also bullish. No indicator is infallible -- but we make special note of these trading signals -- especially at this "scary" junction in the stock market.
Thursday, October 22, 2009
A Look at the Currencies, Stock Indicators
Our overbought/oversold stock market indicators are going neutral after being slightly bearish for a few weeks. Depending on market action, they are looking to go long in a day -- or a few days. Our long-term indicators remain bullish, while our short-term indicators are getting a headache from the flippant stock market. Net-net, as you can tell, we have been slightly bullish, riding the general trend upwards in the equity markets.
Today, the US dollar is taking a breather from its recent steady decline. Most foreign currencies have been gaining ground relative to the US dollar. In particular, high-yielding currencies like the Canadian $ and Australian $ have made big gains. Many markets are now discounting the risk in the general global economy. Only time will tell how things shake out -- but for now, sell the US dollar on dips (and buy all foreign currencies on dips).
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